Select Publications


  1. K. Keller, L. I. Miltich, A, Robinson, and R. S. J. Tol: How overconfident are current projections of carbon dioxide emissions? Energy Journal, in review (2007).
  2. L. I. Miltich, D. M. Ricciuto, and Klaus Keller: A probabilistic assessment of historic land use CO2 emissions based on atmospheric, oceanic, and ice-core observations, Environmental Research Letters, in review, (2007).
  3. D. M. Ricciuto, K. J. Davis, and K. Keller: A Bayesian synthesis inversion of carbon cycle observations: How can observations reduce uncertainties about future sinks? Global Biogeochemical Cycles, in review, (2007).
  4. D. V. Budescu, R. Lempert, S. Broomell, and K. Keller: Aided and unaided decision making with imprecise probabilities, Risk Analysis, in review (2007)
  5. C. Brennan, R. Matear, and K. Keller: Measuring oxygen concentrations improves the detection capabilities of an ocean observation array, Journal of Geophysical Research - Oceans, in the press, (2007).
  6. J. Baehr, D. McInerney, K. Keller, and J. Marotzke: Optimization of an observing system design for the North Atlantic meridional overturning circulation, Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, in the press, (2007).
  7. S. H. Schneider, S. Semenov, A. Patwardhan, I. Burton, C.H.D. Magadza, M. Oppenheimer, A.B. Pittock, A. Rahman, J.B. Smith, A. Suarez F. Yamin, J. Corfee-Morlot, A. Finkel, H.-M. Füssel, K. Keller, Dena MacMynowski, M. D. Mastrandrea, A. Todorov, R. Sukumar, J.-P. van Ypersele, J. Zillman: Assessing key vulnerabilities and the risk from climate change. Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, M.L. Parry, O.F. Canziani, J.P. Palutikof, P.J. van der Linden and C.E. Hanson, Eds., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 779-810 (2007).
  8. K. Keller and D. McInerney: The dynamics of learning about a climate threshold, Climate Dynamics, in the press, published online, DOI 10.1007/s00382-007-0290-5 (2007).
  9. K. Keller, A. Robinson, D. F. Bradford, and M. Oppenheimer: The regrets of procrastination in climate policy, Environmental Research Letters, 2 024004 (4pp)   doi:10.1088/1748-9326/2/2/024004 (2007).
  10. K. Keller, S.-R. Kim, J. Baehr, D. F. Bradford, and M. Oppenheimer: What is the economic value of information about climate thresholds?, Chapter in: "Integrated Assessment of Human Induced Climate Change", Chief Editor: Michael Schlesinger, in the press (2007).
  11. D. McInerney and K. Keller: Economically optimal risk reduction strategies in the face of uncertain climate thresholds, Climatic Change, in the press, published online, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-006-9137-z, (2007).
  12. K. Keller, G. Yohe, and M. Schlesinger: Managing the risks of climate thresholds: Uncertainties and information needs. An editorial essay, Climatic Change, in the press, published online, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-006-9114-6, (2007).
  13. J. Baehr, K. Keller, and J. Marotzke: Detecting potential changes in the meridional overturning circulation at 26 oN in the Atlantic, Climatic Change,  in the press, published online, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-006-9153-z, (2007).
  14. K. Keller, C. Deutsch, M. G. Hall and D. F. Bradford: Early detection of changes in the North Atlantic meridional overturning circulation: Implications for the design of ocean observation systems, Journal of Climate, 20, 145-157 (2007).
  15. B. C. O’Neill, P. Crutzen, A. Grübler, M. Ha Duong, K. Keller, C. Kolstad, J. Koomey, A. Lange, M. Obersteiner, M. Oppenheimer, W. Pepper, W. Sanderson, M. Schlesinger, N. Treich, A. Ulph, M. Webster, and C. Wilson, Learning and Climate Change, Climate Policy, 6, 585-589, (2006).
  16. D.-H. Min and K. Keller: Errors in estimated temporal tracer trends due to changes in the historical observation network: A case study of oxygen trends in the Southern Ocean, Ocean and Polar Research, 27(2), 189-195 (2005).
  17. K. Keller, M. Hall,  S.-R. Kim, D. F. Bradford, and M. Oppenheimer: Avoiding dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system, Climatic Change, 73, 227-238 (2005).
  18. K. Keller, B. M. Bolker, and D. F. Bradford: Uncertain climate thresholds and optimal economic growth, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management , 48, 723-741 (2004).
  19. C. G. Moles,  J. R. Banga, and K. Keller: Solving nonconvex climate control problems: Pitfalls and algorithm performances, Applied Soft Computing, 5 (1), 35-44 (2004).
  20. M. L. Kraepiel, K Keller, H. B. Chin, E. G. Malcolm, and F. M. M. Morel, Sources and Variations of Mercury in Tuna, Environmental Science and Technology,  37, 5551-5558, (2003).
  21. C. M. Moles, A. S. Lieber, J. R. Banga, and K. Keller: Global optimization of climate control problems using evolutionary and stochastic algorithms,. chapter in: Benitez, J. M., Cordon, O., Hoffmann, F.,  Roy, R. (Eds.) (2003) "Advances in Soft Computing: Engineering Design and Manufacturing" Springer-Verlag, Heidelberg. ISBN 1-85233-755-9, pages 331-342.
  22. K. Keller, Z. Yang, M. Hall,  and D. F. Bradford: Carbon dioxide sequestration: How much and when?,  Princeton University Center of Economic Poliy Studies Working Paper # 94 (2003)
  23. N. Gruber, K. Keller, and R. M. Key: What story is told by oceanic tracer concentrations?, Science, 290, 455, 2000.
  24. K. Keller, R. D. Slater, M. Bender and R. M. Key: Possible biological or physical explanations for decadal scale trends in North Pacific nutrient concentrations and oxygen utilization, Deep-Sea-Research, II, 49, 345-362 (2002).
  25. D. F. Bradford and K. Keller: Global Warming Potentials: A Cost-Effectiveness Approach, Paper presented at the NBER Summer Institute Environmental Economics Workshop, Cambridge, MA, August 7-8, 2000.
  26. K. Keller, K. Tan, F. M. M. Morel, and D. F. Bradford: Preserving the ocean circulation: Implications for climate policy, Climatic Change, 47 (1-2) 17-43 (2000). (Also NBER working paper # 7476.)
  27. K. Keller and F. M. M. Morel:  A model of carbon isotopic fractionation and active carbon uptake in phytoplankton, Marine Ecology Progress Series, 182, 295-298 (1999).
  28. A. Kraepiel, K. Keller and F. M. M. Morel:  A model for metal adsorption on Montmorillonite, Journal of Colloid and Interface Science, 210, 43-54 (1999).
  29. A. Kraepiel, K. Keller and F. M. M. Morel:  On the acid-base chemistry of permanently charged minerals,  Environmental Science and Technology, 32, 2829-2838 (1998).
  30. G. Gessler and K. Keller: Vergleich verschiedener Verfahren zur Vergaerung von Bioabfaellen,  Abfallwirtschaftsjournal, (7) 377-383 (1995).